Minority Report

Raymondville, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Willacy County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 61°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—56°0%
US model (GFS)75°64°1%
European model (ECMWF)78°64°0%
German model (ICON)76°64°0%
Canadian model (GEM)77°60°0%
The average77°61°0%

Friday, November 13

High 78°   Low 57°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 14% against a group average of 3%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service78°60°14%
US model (GFS)75°57°1%
European model (ECMWF)79°58°0%
German model (ICON)77°59°0%
Canadian model (GEM)79°52°0%
The average78°57°3%

Saturday, November 14

High 78°   Low 64°   Rain 33%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 44% against a group average of 33%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service77°66°33%
US model (GFS)75°63°32%
European model (ECMWF)80°65°26%
German model (ICON)78°66°44%
Canadian model (GEM)82°61°29%
The average78°64°33%

Sunday, November 15

High 84°   Low 69°   Rain 39%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 63 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 84% against a group average of 39%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service82°63°24%
US model (GFS)83°70°21%
European model (ECMWF)86°69°84%
German model (ICON)81°71°26%
Canadian model (GEM)87°70°38%
The average84°69°39%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.