Minority Report

Rayville, LA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Richland Parish.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 73°   Low 50°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—41°1%
US model (GFS)69°51°0%
European model (ECMWF)74°54°0%
German model (ICON)74°52°0%
Canadian model (GEM)75°52°0%
The average73°50°0%

Friday, November 13

High 58°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°35°0%
US model (GFS)56°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°43°0%
German model (ICON)58°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)61°38°0%
The average58°39°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 57°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°38°0%
US model (GFS)59°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°40°0%
German model (ICON)58°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°31°0%
The average57°35°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 59°   Low 41°   Rain 53%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 63% against a group average of 53%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°41°43%
US model (GFS)64°42°47%
European model (ECMWF)57°43°59%
German model (ICON)57°38°63%
Canadian model (GEM)59°39°51%
The average59°41°53%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.