Minority Report

Reading, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Berks County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 57°   Low 45°   Rain 96%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 16 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 84% against a group average of 96%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°84%
US model (GFS)57°47°98%
European model (ECMWF)58°48°100%
German model (ICON)55°47°100%
Canadian model (GEM)58°46°100%
The average57°45°96%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 36°   Rain 92%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 80% against a group average of 92%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°32°94%
US model (GFS)47°35°80%
European model (ECMWF)49°36°96%
German model (ICON)47°38°98%
Canadian model (GEM)46°37°91%
The average47°36°92%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 22%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 22%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°32°0%
US model (GFS)44°33°24%
European model (ECMWF)46°34°18%
German model (ICON)46°35°38%
Canadian model (GEM)42°37°28%
The average45°34°22%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 35°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°32°0%
US model (GFS)46°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°36°4%
German model (ICON)48°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°35°0%
The average47°35°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.