Minority Report

Red Bluff, CA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Tehama County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 72°   Low 44°   Rain 16%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 34 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 36% against a group average of 16%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—50°36%
US model (GFS)74°42°4%
European model (ECMWF)70°46°2%
German model (ICON)72°43°5%
Canadian model (GEM)73°40°34%
The average72°44°16%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 49°   Rain 97%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°45°99%
US model (GFS)61°49°90%
European model (ECMWF)60°50°100%
German model (ICON)62°52°98%
Canadian model (GEM)60°51°100%
The average60°49°97%

Saturday, November 14

High 60°   Low 48°   Rain 36%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 54 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 74% against a group average of 36%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°45°74%
US model (GFS)60°48°20%
European model (ECMWF)60°49°41%
German model (ICON)60°50°20%
Canadian model (GEM)61°47°24%
The average60°48°36%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 48°   Rain 98%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°42°95%
US model (GFS)50°48°96%
European model (ECMWF)54°49°98%
German model (ICON)54°50°100%
Canadian model (GEM)54°51°100%
The average54°48°98%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.