Minority Report

Red Cloud, NE — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Webster County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 49°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—28°0%
US model (GFS)47°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°36°0%
German model (ICON)49°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°29°0%
The average49°32°0%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°30°0%
US model (GFS)41°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°32°0%
German model (ICON)47°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°21°0%
The average46°29°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 31°   Rain 6%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°35°14%
US model (GFS)46°31°3%
European model (ECMWF)46°32°1%
German model (ICON)48°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°28°14%
The average47°31°6%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 33°   Rain 17%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 37 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 43% against a group average of 17%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°32°11%
US model (GFS)49°38°11%
European model (ECMWF)50°33°6%
German model (ICON)51°38°13%
Canadian model (GEM)47°26°43%
The average49°33°17%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.