Minority Report

Red Wing, MN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Goodhue County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 40°   Low 29°   Rain 20%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 45 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 45% against a group average of 20%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—24°0%
US model (GFS)39°30°1%
European model (ECMWF)40°32°20%
German model (ICON)40°32°45%
Canadian model (GEM)41°28°33%
The average40°29°20%

Friday, November 13

High 39°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°23°0%
US model (GFS)37°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)40°29°0%
German model (ICON)39°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°22°0%
The average39°26°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°24°0%
US model (GFS)44°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°29°0%
German model (ICON)43°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°23°0%
The average42°26°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°28°0%
US model (GFS)49°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°28°0%
German model (ICON)48°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°18°0%
The average47°27°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.