Minority Report

Redding, CA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Shasta County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 70°   Low 49°   Rain 20%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 54 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 54% against a group average of 20%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—50°54%
US model (GFS)73°46°8%
European model (ECMWF)69°52°18%
German model (ICON)72°54°20%
Canadian model (GEM)68°44°0%
The average70°49°20%

Friday, November 13

High 57°   Low 48°   Rain 100%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°45°100%
US model (GFS)58°48°98%
European model (ECMWF)56°47°100%
German model (ICON)59°53°100%
Canadian model (GEM)57°49°100%
The average57°48°100%

Saturday, November 14

High 55°   Low 48°   Rain 66%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 50 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 66%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°46°89%
US model (GFS)52°48°39%
European model (ECMWF)57°47°76%
German model (ICON)55°51°74%
Canadian model (GEM)53°48°54%
The average55°48°66%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 47°   Rain 99%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°43°99%
US model (GFS)50°48°98%
European model (ECMWF)53°47°98%
German model (ICON)54°45°100%
Canadian model (GEM)52°50°100%
The average52°47°99%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.