Refugio, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Refugio County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 77° Low 55° Rain 1%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 5 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 50° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 79° | 59° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 78° | 58° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 76° | 56° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 76° | 51° | 5% |
| The average | 77° | 55° | 1% |
High 77° Low 51° Rain 1%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 76° | 55° | 4% |
| US model (GFS) | 77° | 52° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 78° | 53° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 77° | 52° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 79° | 45° | 0% |
| The average | 77° | 51° | 1% |
High 75° Low 59° Rain 49%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 37 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 74° | 62° | 33% |
| US model (GFS) | 70° | 57° | 57% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 76° | 63° | 66% |
| German model (ICON) | 76° | 59° | 61% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 81° | 54° | 29% |
| The average | 75° | 59° | 49% |
High 78° Low 62° Rain 83%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 76° | 56° | 81% |
| US model (GFS) | 78° | 67° | 71% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 77° | 61° | 95% |
| German model (ICON) | 75° | 62° | 80% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 83° | 66° | 88% |
| The average | 78° | 62° | 83% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.