Minority Report

Reno, NV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Washoe County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 65°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°2%
US model (GFS)67°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°39°0%
German model (ICON)64°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°19°0%
The average65°31°0%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 32°   Rain 89%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 89%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°29°85%
US model (GFS)57°35°84%
European model (ECMWF)54°38°100%
German model (ICON)55°38°83%
Canadian model (GEM)57°21°93%
The average56°32°89%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 29°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°30°1%
US model (GFS)50°34°1%
European model (ECMWF)52°30°5%
German model (ICON)52°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°20°0%
The average52°29°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 58°   Low 33°   Rain 32%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 52 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 64% against a group average of 32%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°32°64%
US model (GFS)57°42°46%
European model (ECMWF)59°36°22%
German model (ICON)57°33°12%
Canadian model (GEM)62°22°15%
The average58°33°32%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.