Minority Report

Rensselaer, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Jasper County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 46°   Low 36°   Rain 86%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 32 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 67% against a group average of 86%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°91%
US model (GFS)46°36°67%
European model (ECMWF)45°37°99%
Canadian model (GEM)48°37°89%
The average46°36°86%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 33°   Rain 68%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 59 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 98% against a group average of 68%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°31°88%
US model (GFS)40°34°39%
European model (ECMWF)41°34°98%
Canadian model (GEM)38°32°48%
The average40°33°68%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 29°   Rain 28%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 55 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 63% against a group average of 28%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°28°8%
US model (GFS)46°33°24%
European model (ECMWF)46°32°63%
Canadian model (GEM)41°24°19%
The average45°29°28%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 28°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 6 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°27°0%
US model (GFS)48°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°22°6%
The average47°28°2%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.