Minority Report

Rhinelander, WI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Oneida County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 35°   Low 29°   Rain 23%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 29 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 40% against a group average of 23%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—24°26%
US model (GFS)36°29°11%
European model (ECMWF)36°30°24%
German model (ICON)36°30°40%
Canadian model (GEM)33°30°14%
The average35°29°23%

Friday, November 13

High 35°   Low 27°   Rain 10%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 27% against a group average of 10%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service36°24°12%
US model (GFS)35°28°6%
European model (ECMWF)35°29°27%
German model (ICON)35°27°5%
Canadian model (GEM)34°26°0%
The average35°27°10%

Saturday, November 14

High 39°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service39°23°0%
US model (GFS)40°29°2%
European model (ECMWF)37°29°0%
German model (ICON)39°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°19°0%
The average39°26°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 43°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°23°0%
US model (GFS)43°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°26°0%
German model (ICON)44°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°17°0%
The average43°25°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.