Minority Report

Richfield, UT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Sevier County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 63°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°1%
US model (GFS)62°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°32°0%
German model (ICON)65°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°31°0%
The average63°33°0%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 35°   Rain 47%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 76 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 96% against a group average of 47%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°39°96%
US model (GFS)61°38°42%
European model (ECMWF)59°34°24%
German model (ICON)61°35°20%
Canadian model (GEM)61°31°52%
The average60°35°47%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 33°   Rain 98%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°30°96%
US model (GFS)48°35°98%
European model (ECMWF)47°36°96%
German model (ICON)47°36°100%
Canadian model (GEM)50°29°100%
The average47°33°98%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°33°0%
US model (GFS)53°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°30°1%
German model (ICON)55°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°26°0%
The average54°31°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.