Minority Report

Richland Center, WI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Richland County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 42°   Low 32°   Rain 12%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 24 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 12%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—25°1%
US model (GFS)42°34°1%
European model (ECMWF)42°36°25%
German model (ICON)42°34°13%
Canadian model (GEM)42°34°19%
The average42°32°12%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°22°1%
US model (GFS)41°31°1%
European model (ECMWF)40°28°0%
German model (ICON)42°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°25°0%
The average42°27°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°24°0%
US model (GFS)45°31°1%
European model (ECMWF)44°26°0%
German model (ICON)45°24°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°20°0%
The average45°25°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°25°0%
US model (GFS)48°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°26°0%
German model (ICON)48°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°14°0%
The average47°24°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.