Minority Report

Richmond, MO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Ray County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 49°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—27°0%
US model (GFS)48°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°39°0%
German model (ICON)48°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°34°0%
The average49°34°0%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°21°0%
US model (GFS)42°24°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°31°0%
German model (ICON)44°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°24°0%
The average44°26°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°25°0%
US model (GFS)48°22°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°27°0%
German model (ICON)48°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°18°0%
The average46°24°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 27°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°27°2%
US model (GFS)52°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)50°29°0%
German model (ICON)52°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°20°0%
The average50°27°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.