Minority Report

Richmond, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Fort Bend County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 55°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—51°0%
US model (GFS)74°57°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°58°0%
German model (ICON)78°56°0%
Canadian model (GEM)78°52°0%
The average77°55°0%

Friday, November 13

High 76°   Low 51°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service72°53°0%
US model (GFS)75°52°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°53°0%
German model (ICON)76°51°0%
Canadian model (GEM)79°46°0%
The average76°51°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 68°   Low 54°   Rain 19%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 4% against a group average of 19%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°57°31%
US model (GFS)67°50°6%
European model (ECMWF)68°57°30%
German model (ICON)65°55°23%
Canadian model (GEM)74°51°4%
The average68°54°19%

Sunday, November 15

High 72°   Low 56°   Rain 77%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 57% against a group average of 77%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°55°75%
US model (GFS)74°58°57%
European model (ECMWF)71°58°93%
German model (ICON)72°57°85%
Canadian model (GEM)77°54°77%
The average72°56°77%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.