Minority Report

Richmond, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Richmond city.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 46°   Rain 16%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 23 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 28% against a group average of 16%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—43°18%
US model (GFS)72°47°13%
German model (ICON)69°47°28%
Canadian model (GEM)71°45°5%
The average71°46°16%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 37°   Rain 5%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 10 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°34°9%
US model (GFS)53°38°1%
German model (ICON)54°36°10%
Canadian model (GEM)55°40°0%
The average54°37°5%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 33°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 3 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°33°0%
US model (GFS)53°33°1%
German model (ICON)52°32°3%
Canadian model (GEM)52°35°0%
The average52°33°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°33°0%
US model (GFS)54°40°0%
German model (ICON)57°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°34°0%
The average55°35°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.