Ridgway, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Elk County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 46° Low 35° Rain 84%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 65 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 29° | 35% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 36° | 92% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 37° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 37° | 93% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 37° | 100% |
| The average | 46° | 35° | 84% |
High 38° Low 32° Rain 42%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 52 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 39° | 29° | 28% |
| US model (GFS) | 36° | 32° | 12% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 39° | 34° | 64% |
| German model (ICON) | 38° | 32° | 43% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 37° | 33° | 62% |
| The average | 38° | 32° | 42% |
High 40° Low 32° Rain 40%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 40 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 30° | 36% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 32° | 18% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 34° | 41% |
| German model (ICON) | 39° | 31° | 58% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 33° | 48% |
| The average | 40° | 32° | 40% |
High 41° Low 34° Rain 26%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 27° | 22% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 35° | 15% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 36° | 31% |
| German model (ICON) | 41° | 36° | 28% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 35° | 35% |
| The average | 41° | 34° | 26% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.