Minority Report

Rigby, ID — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Jefferson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°0%
US model (GFS)57°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°29°0%
German model (ICON)56°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°31°0%
The average56°30°0%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 35°   Rain 19%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 63 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 68% against a group average of 19%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°39°68%
US model (GFS)58°33°6%
European model (ECMWF)60°35°6%
German model (ICON)60°33°10%
Canadian model (GEM)58°34°5%
The average59°35°19%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 35°   Rain 68%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 49% against a group average of 68%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°29°68%
US model (GFS)47°36°49%
European model (ECMWF)48°36°81%
German model (ICON)46°37°78%
Canadian model (GEM)47°37°63%
The average47°35°68%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°31°0%
US model (GFS)48°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°31°0%
German model (ICON)50°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°24°0%
The average49°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.