Minority Report

Rincón Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Rincón Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 91°   Low 75°   Rain 48%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 100 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 48%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—77°0%
US model (GFS)92°75°100%
European model (ECMWF)88°78°59%
German model (ICON)93°70°68%
Canadian model (GEM)90°76°14%
The average91°75°48%

Friday, November 13

High 90°   Low 77°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service89°77°10%
US model (GFS)90°76°6%
European model (ECMWF)88°82°4%
German model (ICON)93°73°10%
Canadian model (GEM)88°75°3%
The average90°77°7%

Saturday, November 14

High 90°   Low 78°   Rain 12%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 31 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 31% against a group average of 12%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service89°76°20%
US model (GFS)90°77°3%
European model (ECMWF)87°81°31%
German model (ICON)92°78°6%
Canadian model (GEM)89°79°0%
The average90°78°12%

Sunday, November 15

High 90°   Low 76°   Rain 16%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 3% against a group average of 16%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service88°74°23%
US model (GFS)92°76°3%
European model (ECMWF)88°80°17%
German model (ICON)94°75°26%
Canadian model (GEM)88°77°10%
The average90°76°16%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.