Rio Grande City, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Starr County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 78° Low 61° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 56° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 80° | 62° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 80° | 64° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 76° | 64° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 77° | 58° | 0% |
| The average | 78° | 61° | 0% |
High 79° Low 58° Rain 5%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 78° | 61° | 23% |
| US model (GFS) | 80° | 59° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 79° | 59° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 77° | 60° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 79° | 52° | 0% |
| The average | 79° | 58° | 5% |
High 80° Low 64° Rain 34%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 78° | 66° | 37% |
| US model (GFS) | 78° | 66° | 52% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 81° | 64° | 41% |
| German model (ICON) | 80° | 66° | 28% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 83° | 58° | 14% |
| The average | 80° | 64° | 34% |
High 85° Low 68° Rain 20%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 84° | 63° | 14% |
| US model (GFS) | 83° | 68° | 17% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 85° | 69° | 28% |
| German model (ICON) | 83° | 69° | 12% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 88° | 70° | 30% |
| The average | 85° | 68° | 20% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.