Minority Report

Ripley, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lauderdale County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 63°   Low 40°   Rain 12%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 59 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 59% against a group average of 12%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°0%
US model (GFS)63°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°42°59%
German model (ICON)62°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°42°0%
The average63°40°12%

Friday, November 13

High 49°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°28°0%
US model (GFS)47°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°36°0%
German model (ICON)49°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°32°0%
The average49°32°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°28°0%
US model (GFS)50°27°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°33°0%
German model (ICON)52°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°26°0%
The average51°29°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 32°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°32°3%
US model (GFS)54°36°2%
European model (ECMWF)54°33°0%
German model (ICON)58°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°26°0%
The average55°32°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.