Minority Report

Ripley, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Jackson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 52°   Low 41°   Rain 90%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 35 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 65% against a group average of 90%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°65%
US model (GFS)52°41°86%
European model (ECMWF)53°44°100%
German model (ICON)53°42°98%
Canadian model (GEM)52°43°100%
The average52°41°90%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 35°   Rain 67%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 77 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 67%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°28°19%
US model (GFS)45°37°62%
European model (ECMWF)47°39°96%
German model (ICON)46°34°73%
Canadian model (GEM)48°38°84%
The average47°35°67%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 32°   Rain 12%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 12%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°29°0%
US model (GFS)45°33°6%
European model (ECMWF)47°36°20%
German model (ICON)45°32°10%
Canadian model (GEM)45°32°24%
The average46°32°12%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 33°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°28°0%
US model (GFS)47°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°39°4%
German model (ICON)49°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°29°0%
The average47°33°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.