Minority Report

Riverside, CA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Riverside County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 82°   Low 53°   Rain 16%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 25 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 16%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—57°33%
US model (GFS)83°52°16%
European model (ECMWF)81°55°8%
German model (ICON)82°50°15%
Canadian model (GEM)83°49°10%
The average82°53°16%

Friday, November 13

High 69°   Low 56°   Rain 67%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 56 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 36% against a group average of 67%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°55°77%
US model (GFS)71°59°36%
European model (ECMWF)67°56°92%
German model (ICON)68°56°43%
Canadian model (GEM)68°56°86%
The average69°56°67%

Saturday, November 14

High 68°   Low 53°   Rain 68%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 60 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 68%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°51°47%
US model (GFS)66°59°62%
European model (ECMWF)67°54°100%
German model (ICON)70°56°40%
Canadian model (GEM)67°46°91%
The average68°53°68%

Sunday, November 15

High 70°   Low 50°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service70°52°13%
US model (GFS)71°58°5%
European model (ECMWF)69°50°2%
German model (ICON)71°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°43°7%
The average70°50°5%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.