Minority Report

Roanoke County, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Roanoke County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 40°   Rain 31%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 57 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 60% against a group average of 31%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°3%
US model (GFS)54°40°22%
German model (ICON)55°42°60%
Canadian model (GEM)57°41°38%
The average56°40°31%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 33°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 4 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°29°3%
US model (GFS)44°33°4%
German model (ICON)45°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°35°0%
The average45°33°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 31°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°28°3%
US model (GFS)42°31°2%
German model (ICON)40°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°30°0%
The average42°31°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°27°0%
US model (GFS)45°33°0%
German model (ICON)47°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°29°0%
The average46°31°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.