Minority Report

Roanoke, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Roanoke city.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 62°   Low 45°   Rain 26%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 41 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 2% against a group average of 26%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—41°2%
US model (GFS)63°45°22%
German model (ICON)60°46°43%
Canadian model (GEM)64°48°38%
The average62°45°26%

Friday, November 13

High 52°   Low 38°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 4 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°33°4%
US model (GFS)51°36°4%
German model (ICON)50°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°42°0%
The average52°38°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°30°0%
US model (GFS)47°31°2%
German model (ICON)45°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°33°0%
The average47°33°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°29°0%
US model (GFS)52°36°0%
German model (ICON)52°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°30°0%
The average52°33°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.