Minority Report

Robbinsville, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Graham County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 40°   Rain 83%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 66 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 34% against a group average of 83%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°34%
US model (GFS)54°42°83%
European model (ECMWF)54°42°100%
German model (ICON)55°44°100%
Canadian model (GEM)54°41°100%
The average54°40°83%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 34°   Rain 56%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 68 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 13% against a group average of 56%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°28°78%
US model (GFS)42°36°13%
European model (ECMWF)42°36°76%
German model (ICON)44°36°30%
Canadian model (GEM)41°35°81%
The average43°34°56%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 28°   Rain 34%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 85 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 86% against a group average of 34%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°24°1%
US model (GFS)43°30°23%
European model (ECMWF)41°31°27%
German model (ICON)43°30°33%
Canadian model (GEM)40°26°86%
The average42°28°34%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°27°1%
US model (GFS)51°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°30°0%
German model (ICON)53°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°23°0%
The average51°27°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.