Minority Report

Robert Lee, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Coke County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 74°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—49°0%
US model (GFS)76°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)73°51°0%
German model (ICON)75°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)74°49°0%
The average74°49°0%

Friday, November 13

High 72°   Low 49°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service71°49°7%
US model (GFS)74°47°1%
European model (ECMWF)71°51°0%
German model (ICON)72°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)74°50°0%
The average72°49°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 64°   Low 51°   Rain 81%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 81%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°53°76%
US model (GFS)64°48°67%
European model (ECMWF)64°51°100%
German model (ICON)61°53°93%
Canadian model (GEM)71°50°71%
The average64°51°81%

Sunday, November 15

High 68°   Low 48°   Rain 55%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 73 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 15% against a group average of 55%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°44°15%
US model (GFS)72°52°53%
European model (ECMWF)65°50°88%
German model (ICON)70°49°50%
Canadian model (GEM)66°46°67%
The average68°48°55%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.