Minority Report

Roby, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Fisher County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 75°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—50°0%
US model (GFS)75°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)75°46°0%
German model (ICON)74°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)74°45°0%
The average75°46°0%

Friday, November 13

High 69°   Low 48°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°50°4%
US model (GFS)71°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)69°49°0%
German model (ICON)66°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)69°44°0%
The average69°48°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 62°   Low 50°   Rain 80%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 62% against a group average of 80%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°53°80%
US model (GFS)63°47°62%
European model (ECMWF)63°51°95%
German model (ICON)58°51°98%
Canadian model (GEM)63°48°67%
The average62°50°80%

Sunday, November 15

High 62°   Low 45°   Rain 57%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 45 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 82% against a group average of 57%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°44°37%
US model (GFS)70°48°54%
European model (ECMWF)60°46°82%
German model (ICON)60°44°55%
Canadian model (GEM)62°42°57%
The average62°45°57%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.