Rochester, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Monroe County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 46° Low 38° Rain 77%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 82 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 34° | 18% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 36° | 68% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 41° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 39° | 98% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 39° | 100% |
| The average | 46° | 38° | 77% |
High 40° Low 36° Rain 44%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 44 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 33° | 39% |
| US model (GFS) | 38° | 35° | 21% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 39° | 31% |
| German model (ICON) | 40° | 36° | 65% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 39° | 35° | 62% |
| The average | 40° | 36° | 44% |
High 42° Low 36° Rain 82%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 31 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 35° | 64% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 35° | 71% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 39° | 95% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 36° | 90% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 35° | 92% |
| The average | 42° | 36° | 82% |
High 42° Low 37° Rain 62%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 58 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 35° | 35% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 38° | 71% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 38° | 93% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 38° | 68% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 39° | 37° | 45% |
| The average | 42° | 37° | 62% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.