Minority Report

Rock Rapids, IA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lyon County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 41°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—21°0%
US model (GFS)42°25°0%
European model (ECMWF)40°30°0%
German model (ICON)39°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°20°0%
The average41°25°0%

Friday, November 13

High 39°   Low 22°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°20°0%
US model (GFS)37°24°0%
European model (ECMWF)41°26°0%
German model (ICON)38°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°14°0%
The average39°22°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 22°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°26°0%
US model (GFS)44°24°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°26°0%
German model (ICON)42°23°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°14°0%
The average42°22°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°30°0%
US model (GFS)49°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°29°0%
German model (ICON)51°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°16°0%
The average47°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.