Minority Report

Rockbridge County, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Rockbridge County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 62°   Low 42°   Rain 29%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 38 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 50% against a group average of 29%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°12%
US model (GFS)61°42°12%
German model (ICON)60°45°50%
Canadian model (GEM)64°42°43%
The average62°42°29%

Friday, November 13

High 51°   Low 34°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 10 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°28°12%
US model (GFS)51°34°2%
German model (ICON)50°38°3%
Canadian model (GEM)51°37°5%
The average51°34°6%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°26°0%
US model (GFS)48°27°2%
German model (ICON)46°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°27°0%
The average48°29°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°26°0%
US model (GFS)52°31°0%
German model (ICON)51°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°26°0%
The average52°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.