Minority Report

Rockford, AL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Coosa County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 67°   Low 48°   Rain 23%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 78 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 78% against a group average of 23%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°0%
US model (GFS)68°50°12%
European model (ECMWF)67°50°78%
German model (ICON)67°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)67°52°24%
The average67°48°23%

Friday, November 13

High 53°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°34°0%
US model (GFS)53°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°38°0%
German model (ICON)53°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°40°0%
The average53°37°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°33°0%
US model (GFS)55°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°36°0%
German model (ICON)54°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°34°0%
The average54°33°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 58°   Low 34°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°37°3%
US model (GFS)59°35°1%
European model (ECMWF)57°35°0%
German model (ICON)57°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°32°0%
The average58°34°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.