Rockford, IL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Winnebago County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 45° Low 33° Rain 26%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 51 points, 3 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 30° | 2% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 32° | 5% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 36° | 53% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 36° | 43% |
| The average | 45° | 33° | 26% |
High 42° Low 29° Rain 1%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 3 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 26° | 3% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 31° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 32° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 28° | 0% |
| The average | 42° | 29° | 1% |
High 44° Low 27° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 25° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 31° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 28° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 22° | 0% |
| The average | 44° | 27° | 0% |
High 47° Low 25° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 25° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 30° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 28° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 17° | 0% |
| The average | 47° | 25° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.