Minority Report

Rockingham, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Richmond County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 72°   Low 47°   Rain 12%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 28 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 28% against a group average of 12%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—41°0%
US model (GFS)73°48°28%
European model (ECMWF)72°51°18%
German model (ICON)72°45°8%
Canadian model (GEM)73°48°5%
The average72°47°12%

Friday, November 13

High 58°   Low 39°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°35°7%
US model (GFS)58°40°1%
European model (ECMWF)57°45°1%
German model (ICON)58°35°5%
Canadian model (GEM)59°42°0%
The average58°39°3%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 34°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°32°0%
US model (GFS)54°33°1%
European model (ECMWF)54°40°2%
German model (ICON)54°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°37°0%
The average54°34°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°32°0%
US model (GFS)56°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°36°0%
German model (ICON)57°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°30°0%
The average56°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.