Minority Report

Rockport, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Spencer County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 38°   Rain 25%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 0°, rain spread 53 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 55% against a group average of 25%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°2%
US model (GFS)55°37°24%
European model (ECMWF)56°41°55%
Canadian model (GEM)55°38°19%
The average55°38°25%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 8%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 18 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 18% against a group average of 8%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°29°18%
US model (GFS)44°33°2%
European model (ECMWF)46°37°10%
Canadian model (GEM)46°36°0%
The average46°34°8%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°27°0%
US model (GFS)50°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)50°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°28°0%
The average50°30°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°29°0%
US model (GFS)53°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°22°0%
The average52°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.