Minority Report

Rockport, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Aransas County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 62°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 5 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—59°0%
US model (GFS)75°63°0%
European model (ECMWF)78°59°0%
German model (ICON)77°65°0%
Canadian model (GEM)77°62°5%
The average77°62°1%

Friday, November 13

High 75°   Low 60°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service74°66°8%
US model (GFS)74°60°0%
European model (ECMWF)78°55°0%
German model (ICON)75°62°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°55°0%
The average75°60°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 76°   Low 67°   Rain 57%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 56 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 57%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service75°68°51%
US model (GFS)73°67°60%
European model (ECMWF)78°65°85%
German model (ICON)76°69°61%
Canadian model (GEM)79°68°29%
The average76°67°57%

Sunday, November 15

High 77°   Low 66°   Rain 77%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 90% against a group average of 77%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service77°61°78%
US model (GFS)76°72°65%
European model (ECMWF)77°62°90%
German model (ICON)75°66°78%
Canadian model (GEM)79°69°75%
The average77°66°77%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.