Minority Report

Rocksprings, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Edwards County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 51°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—50°0%
US model (GFS)70°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)70°53°0%
German model (ICON)70°54°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°50°0%
The average71°51°0%

Friday, November 13

High 69°   Low 52°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 16% against a group average of 3%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°51°16%
US model (GFS)66°53°1%
European model (ECMWF)70°52°0%
German model (ICON)69°54°0%
Canadian model (GEM)71°48°0%
The average69°52°3%

Saturday, November 14

High 64°   Low 54°   Rain 48%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 50 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 80% against a group average of 48%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°56°34%
US model (GFS)61°51°30%
European model (ECMWF)65°52°80%
German model (ICON)62°54°54%
Canadian model (GEM)71°54°44%
The average64°54°48%

Sunday, November 15

High 70°   Low 53°   Rain 44%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 70 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 90% against a group average of 44%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°48°20%
US model (GFS)70°58°29%
European model (ECMWF)69°50°53%
German model (ICON)71°55°28%
Canadian model (GEM)73°53°90%
The average70°53°44%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.