Minority Report

Rockville, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Parke County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 49°   Low 36°   Rain 48%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 70 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 87% against a group average of 48%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°17%
US model (GFS)47°36°24%
European model (ECMWF)52°38°63%
Canadian model (GEM)50°37°87%
The average49°36°48%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 34°   Rain 21%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 29 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 21%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°29°20%
US model (GFS)42°34°10%
European model (ECMWF)44°35°16%
Canadian model (GEM)41°36°39%
The average43°34°21%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 28°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 5 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°25°0%
US model (GFS)48°33°1%
European model (ECMWF)48°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°26°5%
The average47°28°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°28°0%
US model (GFS)50°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°19°0%
The average49°27°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.