Minority Report

Rockwall, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Rockwall County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 51°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—48°1%
US model (GFS)76°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)74°55°0%
German model (ICON)76°55°0%
Canadian model (GEM)77°50°0%
The average76°51°0%

Friday, November 13

High 66°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service67°46°1%
US model (GFS)66°49°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°52°0%
German model (ICON)65°50°0%
Canadian model (GEM)69°49°0%
The average66°49°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 62°   Low 46°   Rain 44%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 54 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 13% against a group average of 44%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°46°57%
US model (GFS)64°43°28%
European model (ECMWF)60°49°67%
German model (ICON)60°46°57%
Canadian model (GEM)62°47°13%
The average62°46°44%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 44°   Rain 94%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 81% against a group average of 94%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°44°92%
US model (GFS)56°43°81%
European model (ECMWF)54°46°100%
German model (ICON)50°44°99%
Canadian model (GEM)49°43°96%
The average52°44°94%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.