Minority Report

Rocky Mount, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Franklin County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 63°   Low 44°   Rain 31%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 53 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 2% against a group average of 31%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—44°2%
US model (GFS)62°43°27%
European model (ECMWF)62°46°55%
German model (ICON)63°42°53%
Canadian model (GEM)66°46°19%
The average63°44°31%

Friday, November 13

High 52°   Low 38°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°37°3%
US model (GFS)50°36°3%
European model (ECMWF)52°42°2%
German model (ICON)52°35°3%
Canadian model (GEM)54°41°0%
The average52°38°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 34°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°35°0%
US model (GFS)47°32°3%
European model (ECMWF)47°37°1%
German model (ICON)47°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°33°0%
The average48°34°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°33°0%
US model (GFS)50°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°36°0%
German model (ICON)53°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°31°0%
The average52°33°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.