Minority Report

Rolla, ND — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Rolette County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 33°   Low 23°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—20°0%
US model (GFS)32°27°0%
European model (ECMWF)33°24°0%
German model (ICON)34°24°0%
Canadian model (GEM)34°20°0%
The average33°23°0%

Friday, November 13

High 35°   Low 23°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service35°20°0%
US model (GFS)31°24°0%
European model (ECMWF)36°24°0%
German model (ICON)36°23°0%
Canadian model (GEM)36°22°0%
The average35°23°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 40°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service39°27°0%
US model (GFS)42°24°0%
European model (ECMWF)40°27°0%
German model (ICON)40°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°23°0%
The average40°25°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°33°0%
US model (GFS)52°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°32°0%
German model (ICON)45°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°30°0%
The average48°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.