Minority Report

Rolling Fork, MS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Sharkey County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 0°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°0%
US model (GFS)72°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)71°54°0%
German model (ICON)71°52°0%
Canadian model (GEM)71°51°0%
The average71°49°0%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°34°0%
US model (GFS)56°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°42°0%
German model (ICON)56°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°36°0%
The average56°38°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°36°0%
US model (GFS)58°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°38°0%
German model (ICON)56°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°28°0%
The average56°33°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 60°   Low 39°   Rain 26%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 36% against a group average of 26%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°40°26%
US model (GFS)64°40°18%
European model (ECMWF)58°41°31%
German model (ICON)60°38°36%
Canadian model (GEM)59°35°19%
The average60°39°26%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.