Minority Report

Romney, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hampshire County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 43°   Rain 56%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 86 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 56%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°14%
US model (GFS)55°44°23%
European model (ECMWF)60°46°98%
German model (ICON)56°40°100%
Canadian model (GEM)59°45°46%
The average58°43°56%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 35°   Rain 14%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 28% against a group average of 14%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°30°14%
US model (GFS)46°32°3%
European model (ECMWF)48°40°10%
German model (ICON)47°35°28%
Canadian model (GEM)49°40°14%
The average47°35°14%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 5%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°30°7%
US model (GFS)45°33°3%
European model (ECMWF)45°35°0%
German model (ICON)45°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°38°14%
The average46°34°5%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 37°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°29°1%
US model (GFS)46°36°1%
European model (ECMWF)47°41°6%
German model (ICON)48°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°39°0%
The average48°37°2%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.