Roscommon, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Roscommon County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 42° Low 32° Rain 74%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 85 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 31° | 13% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 32° | 73% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 33° | 98% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 32° | 93% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 32° | 95% |
| The average | 42° | 32° | 74% |
High 37° Low 30° Rain 11%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 38° | 28° | 22% |
| US model (GFS) | 37° | 32° | 9% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 37° | 30° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 37° | 30° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 37° | 31° | 25% |
| The average | 37° | 30° | 11% |
High 41° Low 31° Rain 3%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 27° | 8% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 32° | 5% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 32° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 32° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 29° | 0% |
| The average | 41° | 31° | 3% |
High 43° Low 30° Rain 1%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 25° | 5% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 34° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 31° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 32° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 27° | 0% |
| The average | 43° | 30° | 1% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.