Minority Report

Roxboro, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Person County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 68°   Low 44°   Rain 28%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 54 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 1% against a group average of 28%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°1%
US model (GFS)68°46°18%
European model (ECMWF)67°48°53%
German model (ICON)67°43°55%
Canadian model (GEM)69°45°14%
The average68°44°28%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 38°   Rain 13%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 13%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°31°16%
US model (GFS)53°38°4%
European model (ECMWF)54°43°25%
German model (ICON)54°37°10%
Canadian model (GEM)56°40°10%
The average55°38°13%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 32°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°29°0%
US model (GFS)51°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)51°38°6%
German model (ICON)51°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°31°7%
The average51°32°3%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°29°0%
US model (GFS)54°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°36°0%
German model (ICON)56°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°29°0%
The average54°31°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.