Minority Report

Rugby, ND — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Pierce County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 35°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—21°0%
US model (GFS)34°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)35°28°0%
German model (ICON)35°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)36°22°0%
The average35°25°0%

Friday, November 13

High 37°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service37°21°0%
US model (GFS)33°24°0%
European model (ECMWF)39°26°0%
German model (ICON)38°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)38°22°0%
The average37°24°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°28°0%
US model (GFS)47°24°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°29°0%
German model (ICON)43°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°25°0%
The average44°27°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°33°0%
US model (GFS)55°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°34°0%
German model (ICON)47°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°32°0%
The average51°33°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.