Minority Report

Rupert, ID — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Minidoka County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 60°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°0%
US model (GFS)62°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°34°0%
German model (ICON)60°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°33°0%
The average60°34°0%

Friday, November 13

High 63°   Low 37°   Rain 24%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 79 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 79% against a group average of 24%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°40°79%
US model (GFS)62°34°7%
European model (ECMWF)63°36°12%
German model (ICON)64°39°20%
Canadian model (GEM)61°35°0%
The average63°37°24%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 34°   Rain 77%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 46 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 54% against a group average of 77%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°30°54%
US model (GFS)51°39°77%
European model (ECMWF)51°37°100%
German model (ICON)50°36°80%
Canadian model (GEM)51°28°76%
The average50°34°77%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°33°1%
US model (GFS)53°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°33°0%
German model (ICON)56°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°22°0%
The average55°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.