Minority Report

Rushville, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Rush County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 49°   Low 38°   Rain 45%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 45 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 71% against a group average of 45%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°34%
US model (GFS)49°39°26%
European model (ECMWF)52°40°71%
Canadian model (GEM)48°38°49%
The average49°38°45%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 32°   Rain 32%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 41 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 11% against a group average of 32%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°29°28%
US model (GFS)41°32°11%
European model (ECMWF)44°36°37%
Canadian model (GEM)40°31°52%
The average42°32°32%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 29°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°30°0%
US model (GFS)44°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)44°30°2%
Canadian model (GEM)46°24°0%
The average45°29°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°30°0%
US model (GFS)47°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°36°2%
Canadian model (GEM)47°23°0%
The average47°31°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.