Minority Report

Rusk, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cherokee County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 53°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—49°0%
US model (GFS)77°56°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°54°0%
German model (ICON)75°51°0%
Canadian model (GEM)77°53°0%
The average76°53°0%

Friday, November 13

High 68°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service67°45°1%
US model (GFS)68°51°0%
European model (ECMWF)68°51°0%
German model (ICON)66°45°0%
Canadian model (GEM)71°51°0%
The average68°49°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 62°   Low 45°   Rain 18%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 3% against a group average of 18%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°47°30%
US model (GFS)65°44°8%
European model (ECMWF)64°46°30%
German model (ICON)59°40°21%
Canadian model (GEM)64°48°3%
The average62°45°18%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 45°   Rain 84%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 68% against a group average of 84%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°46°81%
US model (GFS)57°45°68%
European model (ECMWF)52°45°96%
German model (ICON)50°46°86%
Canadian model (GEM)53°44°87%
The average54°45°84%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.