Minority Report

Russell, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Russell County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°1%
US model (GFS)53°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°36°0%
German model (ICON)56°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°34°0%
The average55°34°0%

Friday, November 13

High 50°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°31°1%
US model (GFS)46°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°33°0%
German model (ICON)51°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°27°0%
The average50°30°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 33°   Rain 22%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°35°31%
US model (GFS)50°31°14%
European model (ECMWF)48°35°20%
German model (ICON)51°32°19%
Canadian model (GEM)47°30°27%
The average49°33°22%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 37°   Rain 47%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 53 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 88% against a group average of 47%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°32°37%
US model (GFS)42°40°36%
European model (ECMWF)50°39°35%
German model (ICON)47°40°38%
Canadian model (GEM)46°34°88%
The average46°37°47%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.